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Stock Market Outlook For Mon Aug 10 2026 – Choppy Bias Higher

Aug 10, 2026 | Stock Market Outlook

 

Stock Market Outlook - choppy bias higher


Prior Trading Day Summary

On Fri Aug 6 2026 the initial reaction from investors on the surprising loss of jobs as reported by the July Non-Farm Payroll Numbers report was negative but by 10:15 stocks had already seen the day’s low and were moving higher.

The SPX shook off the unemployment report and climbed 47 points to close at 7757. Volume was 5 billion shares traded with 64% of all stocks rising. For the week the index was up 268 points. This is the best one week showing since the second week of April when the SPX rose 309 points.

The NASDAQ rose 342 points ending the day at 26,690. Volume was low at 8.3 billion. 66% of all stocks were higher by the close. For the week the NASDAQ rose 1316 points which was also its best week since the second week of April when the index rose 1565 points.

With stocks back climbing let’s look at the closing technical indicators from Fri Aug 7 2026 to see what they are advising for the start of the second week of August.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Fri Aug 7 2026 

The index ended the day at the Upper Bollinger Band which is bullish.

The closing candlestick has only two small shadows which signal dips will be short-lived on Monday.

The 21 day moving average is rising and closed at 7527. This is bullish.

The 50 day moving average is rising and closed at 7494. This is bullish.

The 100 day moving average is rising and closed at 7317. This is bullish.

The 200 day moving average is rising and closed at 7068. This is bullish.

The Lower Bollinger Band is falling and now below the 100 day moving average which is bullish. The Upper Bollinger Band is rising. The signal is bullish for stocks.

The SPX chart is bullish for Mon Aug 10 2026.

SPX Stock Market Outlook review of Fri Aug 7 2026


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is rising and positive. This is bullish.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued an up signal on Mon Aug 3 2026. The up signal was stronger on Fri Aug 7 2026.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9.
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is rising which is bullish.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has a down signal in place which is bearish. It is overbought.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is rising and overbought. This is bullish.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor. It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change is falling which is bearish. It is signaling Monday will end lower.

Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.


Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

7800 is resistance
7780 is resistance
7750 is resistance
7700 is resistance
7650 is resistance
7600 is resistance
7590 is resistance
7570 is resistance
7550 is resistance
7500 is resistance
7450 is resistance
7425 is resistance
7400 is support
7370 is support
7350 is support
7300 is support
7280 is support
7250 is support
7200 is support


Stock Market Outlook for Mon Aug 10 2026 

For Monday any dips will be short-lived and are opportunities that investors may try to setup trades in.

The outlook is bullish although the morning might be a bit choppy. The close will be higher on Monday despite the July jobs report.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

Monday:

No events

 

 

 

 

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