July 8, 2016
Categories: Market Timing System
Today’s unemployment numbers for June caught almost all analysts by surprise. A surprise of 287,000 new jobs created in almost all sectors of the economy outside of mining and transportation/warehousing has the markets set to open higher. It also brings about the question again of will the Fed raise interest rates in September. Earlier this spring most analysts felt the Fed would raise rates in June, September and December. That has been trimmed back to December only following the Brexit “leave” vote. However the June…
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May 12, 2016
Categories: Market Timing System, Stock Market Outlook
Market timing is not a science but after investing for 40 years I have come to realize that market timing has credibility and through studying various market timing systems and market timing indicators I have developed a strategy of using market timing to keep my portfolio on the right side of market direction. Whereas there is truth that no amount of market timing or market timing systems can be accurate 100 percent of the time or even 50% of the time, I have found that…
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May 12, 2016
Categories: Market Timing System, Stock Market Outlook
Today’s Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims for the prior week (May 2 ) show that the unemployment picture is continuing to weaken. Today’s report shows 294,000 Americans applying for unemployment benefits marking the third jump in a row for the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims. This marks the highest level in 14 months. Even the average of new claims which is less volatile, still shows a rise to 268,250. While these numbers are still quite good and represent one of the best periods in US…
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April 7, 2016
Categories: Market Timing System, Stock Market Outlook
Today’s Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims for the prior week (April 2) show that the unemployment picture remains on a very solid footing. For the 57th week in a row the numbers show claims are below 300,000. This is best stretch of employment since 1973 and the outlook remains strong for those seeking employment. Jobless claims dropped by 9,000 to 267,000 for the week ended Apr 2. The Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims shows that businesses are continuing to hire while layoffs are at the…
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February 11, 2016
Categories: Market Timing System, Stock Market Outlook
The Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims for the week ended Feb 6 show that the number of people filing for unemployment benefits fell back to a seasonally adjusted 269,000. This is below average estimates that ranged from 280,000 to 285,000. It continues to show that the economy remains on fairly solid footings with claims showing that layoff levels are very low despite what the global economy and stocks are suggesting. Today’s numbers had no impact on stock direction today as the selling was steady and…
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October 29, 2015
Categories: Market Timing System, Stock Market Outlook
Investors who follow my website know there are a multitude of market timing systems which investors have followed. I prefer to keep watch on one of the better market timing systems I established which is based on the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims. This article outlines how the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims work as a market timing system. I have used this system for years and find it to be one of the more reliable systems. Zero Interest Rate Effect The only difference this…
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June 25, 2015
Categories: Market Timing System, Stock Market Outlook
Investors who follow my website know there are a multitude of market timing systems which investors have followed. I prefer to keep watch on one of the better market timing systems I established which is based on the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims. This article outlines how the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims work as a market timing system. I have used this system for years and find it to be one of the more reliable systems. June 25 2015 Outlook – Stay Invested Despite…
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June 18, 2015
Categories: Market Timing System, Stock Market Outlook
Investors who follow my website know there are a multitude of market timing systems which investors have followed. I prefer to keep watch on one of the better market timing systems I established which is based on the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims. This article outlines how the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims work as a market timing system. I have used this system for years and find it to be one of the more reliable systems. June 18 2015 Outlook – Stay Invested Despite…
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February 5, 2015
Categories: Market Timing System, Stock Market Outlook
Regular readers of my website know there are a multitude of market timing systems which investors have sworn by or in many cases sworn at. One of the better market timing systems I have seen is the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims. This article discusses how the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims work as a market timing system. I have used this system for years and find it to be one of the more reliable systems. As of today, that market timing system is advising…
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January 23, 2015
Categories: Economic Outlook, Just My Opinion, Market Timing System
This morning the leading economic index rose 0.5% for December which would indicate more steady growth to the economy for the first quarter of the year. We will know more when the january leading economic index is reported. However with Europe now engaged in a massive Quantitative Easing Program of billions of Euros into bond buying, and oil still stumbling, you can be sure that stocks will remain volatile but are probably the very best risky asset at this point. Even the lagging index for…
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September 5, 2014
Categories: Market Timing System
Regular readers of FullyInformed.com know that I use the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims and the monthly unemployment report as a market timing system. This market timing system has a proven track record which I have benefited from for years. For anyone unaware of this system you can read how this market timing system works through this link. You can also review all the market timing articles through this index and finally, you can review all the weekly unemployment market timing system through this category. August…
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July 11, 2014
Categories: Market Timing System
The June 2014 employment news from Canada today was disappointing. The Canadian Unemployment rate rose to 7.1% in June. The economy lost 9,000 jobs but by looking deeper into the numbers you can see there are additional problems that will need to be addressed. These problems, in my opinion are advising me to stay invested in Canadian equities at this time. This article discusses my outlook on Canadian equities following the release of the June employment numbers. Canadian Unemployment Outlook Says Stay Invested FullyInformed Canada…
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July 2, 2014
Categories: Market Timing System, Stock Market Outlook
One of the best market timing systems I have found is using the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims to time how much capital to commit to stocks, when to commit it and what types of trade strategies to employ. While nothing is perfect, the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims market timing system has been the best I have found to date and rivals the Toronto Stock Exchange Commodities market timing system for the number one spot. The TSX commodities market timing system has been quite…
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June 19, 2014
Categories: Market Timing System, Stock Market Outlook
There are a multitude of market timing systems which investors have sworn by or in many cases sworn at. One of the better market timing systems is the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims. This article discusses how the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims work as a market timing system. I have used this system for years and find it to be one of the more reliable systems. As of today, that market timing system is advising to continue to stay invested. Latest Weekly Initial Unemployment…
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May 1, 2014
Categories: Market Timing System
Regular readers of FullyInformed.com know that I use the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims as a market timing system. This market timing system has a proven track record which I have benefited from for years. For anyone unaware of this system you can read how this market timing system works through this link. You can also review all the market timing articles through this index and finally, you can review all the weekly unemployment market timing system through this category. May 1 2014 Weekly Initial Unemployment…
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