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Thank You and Welcome To 2015

Jan 1, 2015 | Stock Market Outlook

I want to thank every member for your support going into another year. So let me just say again “Thank You”. I received over 400 emails over the past two weeks with Christmas and New Year’s wishes from members and I must say I am overwhelmed. Thank you so much for your kind comments and best wishes. I want to wish every investor a healthy, happy and prosperous New Year.

Private Members Forums

The private members forums for both USA and Canada members will be up and running by the end of the weekend. An email will be sent out to all members with more information as the forums get started. I am excited to be opening this different line of communication.

My Public Yahoo Options Forum

My public Yahoo forum will remain open to all investors and I will continue to post and moderate that forum.

Stay Positive In 2015

There is lots of evidence that historically 2015 will be a good year. I will be posting more over the next several days about the stats for 2015.

Stay positive as we enter the year and avoid the articles on crashes and doom and gloom. Every year at this time the media is filled with dire predictions. Instead consider that analysts are wrong far more than they are right. Consider reviewing the many articles in my bear market and corrections category to learn the various signs of a severe pullback versus a simply dip. Remember that no one can predict with any certainty what the new year may bring.

Take Charge in 2015

Instead of doom and gloom, take a different approach. Let 2015 be the year to take charge of your portfolio. Consider learning new strategies including those that profit in pullbacks and dips. Remember that 2014 was the year of dips and every dip turned out to be a buying opportunity. I am glad so many investors have decided to join me as we enter 2015. I don’t know if I can duplicate the returns of the Market Direction Portfolio in 2015. In 2014 it doubled in value. But that does not matter. What really matters is protecting capital and learning how to trade in all kinds of market environments. I am expecting 2015 to be more volatile than prior years but whether we will see the start of a new Bear Market, I don’t believe anyone can predict with any certainty.

Rise In Interest Rates

2015 may see the start of rising interest rates. If that does occur, look for stocks to enter an extended period of weakness.

Splitting Up The Year

I am anticipating that January will be weak, at least for two weeks. However I am of the opinion that stocks could be fairly decent for the first half of the year but then stall out and move back for the last half of the year. Right now at least, that’s the foggy map I will be following.

Keeping Cash

My outlook means taking on smaller positions, which is what I have done for most of December.  This will leave me with a bit more cash than usual to be able to take advantage of pullbacks and rallies.

Looking Forward To Another Year

2015 promises to be a different year than we have seen since the end of 2008. With the end of Quantitative Easing in October 2014 and possible rise in Interest Rates in 2015 I think we will witness a different stock market. Problems in Europe, plunging commodity prices, a rising US dollar, declining unemployment and a gradual decline in Asian growth all seem to be carry-overs from 2014 which may play larger roles in 2015.

Overall I am looking forward to another year and I hope you are as well. Happy New Year and I hope you enjoy FullyInformed.com again this year.

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