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Stock Market Outlook For Tue Jul 28 2026 – Continued Weakness Despite Strong Earnings

Jul 28, 2026 | Stock Market Outlook

Stock Market Outlook Weakness

 


Prior Trading Day Summary

On Mon Jul 27 2026 stocks had another choppy session despite a winding down of tensions with Iran and a decline in oil prices.

The SPX gained 1 points to close at 7413 on 5.1 billion shares traded. By the close 61% of stocks were rising.

The NASDAQ lost 43 points to 24,932. Volume was 8 billion shares traded. The close saw 60% of stocks rising.

Let’s review the closing technical indicators from Mon Jul 27 2026 to see what to expect for Tue Jul 28 2026.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Mon Jul 27 2026 

The index ended the day below both the 21 day and 50 day moving averages which is bearish.

The closing candlestick has a long shadow pointing to a probable bounce attempt for Tuesday.

The 21 day moving average is rising and closed at 7486. It is still near the 50 day moving average.This is bearish.

The 50 day moving average is falling and closed at 7471. This is bearish.

The 100 day moving average is rising and closed at 7264. This is bullish.

The 200 day moving average is rising and closed at 7019. This is bullish.

The Lower Bollinger Band is rising. The Upper Bollinger Band is falling. The Bollinger Bands Squeeze signaling stocks may fall out of the Bollinger Bands Squeeze.

The SPX chart is more bearish than bullish for Tue Jul 28 2026.

SPX Stock Market Outlook review of Mon Jul 27 2026


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is rising and negative. This is bearish.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a down signal on Fri Jul 17 2026. On Mon Jul 27 2026 the down signal gained strength.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9.
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is rising which is bullish.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has a down signal in place. It is at oversold levels.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is rising which is bullish and points to a probable bounce.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor. It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change is rising which is bullish.

Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.


Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

7600 is resistance
7590 is resistance
7570 is resistance
7550 is resistance
7500 is resistance
7450 is resistance
7425 is resistance
7400 is resistance
7370 is support
7350 is support
7300 is support
7280 is support
7250 is support
7200 is support
7175 is support
7150 is support
7125 is support
7100 is good support


Stock Market Outlook for Tue Jul 28 2026 

For Tuesday the technical indicators are a bit stronger to the bullish side although the S&P chart is more negative than bullish. Signals point to a second bounce attempt today with a higher close to the day. The MACD technical indicator is still holding a down signal and it gained more strength on Monday. This is one of the more accurate technical signals. Until we see the down signal weaken, any move higher remains suspect. Tomorrow we get the latest interest rate decision from the Fed. I will be putting together a trade today ahead of that decison.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

Monday:

8:30 Durable goods for Jun came in lower than estimates at 0.3%

Tuesday:

8:30 Advance Economic Indicators for July

8:30 Wholesale inventories for June are estimated to rise to 0.3%

8:30 Retail inventories for June are estimated to rise to 0.6%

9:00 S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Home SPX Index for May is estimated at 1.1%

10:00 Conference Board Consumer Confidence for July is estimated at 92

Wednesday:

2:00 PM US Interest rate decision – estimates are no change in interest rates

 

 

 

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