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Stock Market Outlook For Fri Jul 24 2026 – Potential Bounce Attempt But Lower Close

Jul 24, 2026 | Stock Market Outlook

Potential Bounce But Lower

 


Prior Trading Day Summary

On Thu Jul 23 2026 stocks fell after disappointing earnings from the likes of Alphabet Stock (GOOGL) and other companies combined with rising oil prices to push investors into a sell-off day.

Numbers were underwhelming in general and the indexes closed lower.

The SPX lost 90 points to close at 7408 on rising volume of 5.5 billion. By the close 71% of stocks were falling.

The NASDAQ lost 553 points to 25,137. Volume was 7.8 billion shares traded. The close saw 69% of stocks falling.

After hours on Thursday Intel earnings surprised with exceptional quarterly earnings.

Let’s review the closing technical indicators from Thu Jul 23 2026 to see what to expect for Fri Jul 24 2026.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Thu Jul 23 2026 

The index ended the day below both the 21 day and 50 day moving averages which is bearish.

The closing candlestick is bearish for Friday but with long shadows top and bottom which signals indecision on the part of investors. Dips are likely again on Friday.

The 21 day moving average is rising and closed at 7481. It is nearing the 50 day moving average.This is bearish.

The 50 day moving average is unchanged and closed at 7471. This is bearish.

The 100 day moving average is rising and closed at 7258. This is bullish.

The 200 day moving average is rising and closed at 7011. This is bullish.

The Lower Bollinger Band is rising. The Upper Bollinger Band is falling. The Bollinger Bands Squeeze is ending with signals pointing to stocks moving lower.

The SPX chart is more bearish than bullish for Fri Jul 24 2026.

SPX Stock Market Outlook review of Thu Jul 23 2026


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is falling and negative. This is bearish.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a down signal on Fri Jul 17 2026. On Thu Jul 23 2026 the down signal gained strength.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9.
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is falling which is bearish.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has a weak up signal in place.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is falling which is bearish.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor. It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change is rising which is bullish.

Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.


Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

7600 is resistance
7590 is resistance
7570 is resistance
7550 is resistance
7500 is resistance
7450 is resistance
7425 is resistance
7400 is resistance
7370 is support
7350 is support
7300 is support
7280 is support
7250 is support
7200 is support
7175 is support
7150 is support
7125 is support
7100 is good support


Stock Market Outlook for Fri Jul 24 2026 

On Thursday a number of stocks saw major declines including Alphabet Stock (GOOGL) down 7.1%, Tesla Stock (TSLA) down 14.5%, T-Mobile Stock (TMUS) down 10.7% and others. With oil prices climbing sharply, investors decided to take some profits and stocks tumbled. The technical indicators are overly bearish which often points to a possible bounce attempt. For Friday stocks could such a bounce but the outlook is still for a move lower.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

Monday:

10:00 Leading indicators for Jun came in lower than estimated at -0.2%

Tuesday:

no reports issues

Wednesday:

There are no reports

Thursday:

8:30 Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims were lower than estimated coming in at 187,000

Friday:

9:45 Flash Manufacturing PMI for July is estimated at 54.4, down from 55.7 prior

9:45 Flash services PMI for July is estimated at 51.5 up slightly from 51.3 prior

10:00 New Home Sales are estimated at 606,000 for Jun, up from 580,000 prior

 

 

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