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Stock Market Outlook For Thu Jul 23 2026 – Weakness With Dips Likely

Jul 23, 2026 | Stock Market Outlook

Weakness Dips Likely

 


Prior Trading Day Summary

On Wed Jul 22 2026 stocks slipped and the indexes closed slightly lower ahead of big earnings from Alphabet (GOOGL), Tesla (TSLA), International Business Machines (IBM), ServiceNow (NOW), Texas Instruments (TXN) and more.

Numbers were underwhelming in general and the indexes closed lower.

The SPX lost 10 points to close at 7498 on low volume of 4.9 billion. By the close 55% of stocks were falling.

The NASDAQ lost 146 points to 25,690. Volume fell to 7.7 billion shares traded. The close saw 63% of stocks falling.

Let’s review the closing technical indicators from Wed Jul 22 2026 to see what to expect for Thu Jul 23 2026.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Wed Jul 22 2026 

The index ended the day above both the 21 day and 50 day moving averages which is bullish.

The closing candlestick is bearish for Thursday but with long shadows top and bottom which signals indecision on the part of investors. Dips are likely today.

The 21 day moving average is rising and closed at 7478. It is nearing the 50 day moving average.This is bearish.

The 50 day moving average is rising and closed at 7471. This is bullish.

The 100 day moving average is rising and closed at 7255. This is bullish.

The 200 day moving average is rising and closed at 7007. This is bullish.

The Lower Bollinger Band is falling. The Upper Bollinger Band is moving sideways. The Bollinger Bands Squeeze is ending but signals show stocks may dip as they move out of the Bollinger Bands Squeeze.

The SPX chart is more bearish than bullish for Thu Jul 23 2026.

SPX Stock Market Outlook review of Wed Jul 22 2026


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is rising and positive. This is bullish.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a down signal on Fri Jul 17 2026. On Wed Jul 22 2026 the down signal was unchanged.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9.
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is falling which is bearish.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has a weak down signal in place but we could see the down signal turn to an up signal today.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is falling which is bearish.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor. It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change is rising which is bullish.

Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.


Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

7600 is resistance
7590 is resistance
7570 is resistance
7550 is resistance
7500 is resistance
7450 is resistance
7425 is resistance
7400 is resistance
7370 is support
7350 is support
7300 is support
7280 is support
7250 is support
7200 is support
7175 is support
7150 is support
7125 is support
7100 is good support


Stock Market Outlook for Thu Jul 23 2026 

For Thursday the market has to deal with disappointing earnings reports from Alphabet (GOOGL), Tesla (TSLA), International Business Machines (IBM) and even ServiceNow (NOW). Some stocks bounced after hours on Wednesday but we may see weakness instead today.

The outlook is for weakness to build and dips are likely. Overall though more earnings have to be released before the SPX decides whether to make new highs or pullback. Today though won’t be that day.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

Monday:

10:00 Leading indicators for Jun came in lower than estimated at -0.2%

Tuesday:

no reports issues

Wednesday:

There are no reports

Thursday:

8:30 Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims are expect to rise to 212,000 from 208,000 prior

 

 

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