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Stock Market Outlook For Mon Sep 28 2026 – Weakness With Dips Likely

Sep 28, 2026 | Stock Market Outlook

Weakness Dips Likely

 


Prior Trading Day Summary

On Fri Sep 25 2026 stocks rose with the SPX rising 39 points to close at 7743 and the NASDAQ rising 129 points to end the week at 27,068. For the week the S&P was up 93 points. The NASDAQ rose 546 points marking a second week of gains.

Let’s review the SPX closing technical indicators from Fri Sep 25 2026 to see what they predict for Mon Sep 28 2026.

Prior Trading Day Earned Income

On Fri Sep 25 2026 there were 13 trades, a number of them small trades but total income earned was $6879. For the week income earned was $25,4479.

Among the trades done on Friday was one in Apple Stock (AAPL) which is being used in the Million Dollar Challenge Portfolio. Members can review all of Friday’s trades through this list. Reviewing prior trades can be helpful and profitable as prices change constantly and often improve in the day(s) following trades being entered.

Last Week:

On Thu Sep 24 2026 there were 8 trades with a total income earned of $4305.

On Wed Sep 23 2026 there were 9 trades with a total income earned of $4175.

On Tue Sep 22 2026 there were 7 trades with a total income earned of $4064.

On Mon Sep 21 2026 there were 9 trades with a total income earned of $6056.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Fri Sep 25 2026 

The index ended the day below the Upper Bollinger Band but still above all major moving averages. This is bullish.

The closing candlestick is bullish for the start of the week.

The 21 day moving average is rising and closed at 7675. This is bullish.

The 50 day moving average is rising and closed at 7636. This is bullish.

The 100 day moving average is rising and closed at 7499. This is bullish.

The 200 day moving average is rising and closed at 7237. This is bullish.

The Lower Bollinger Band is above the 100 day moving average and falling which is bullish. The Upper Bollinger Band is rising which is also bullish.

The SPX chart is more bullish than bearish for the start of the week but if oil prices continue higher on Monday, any rally may falter.

SPX Stock Market Outlook review of Fri Sep 25 2026


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is falling and positive. This is bullish.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued an up signal on Mon Sep 21 2026. The up signal was stronger on Fri Sep 25 2026.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9.
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is moving sideways which is neutral.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has a down signal in place and is bearish. It is overbought.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is rising. This is bullish.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor. It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change is rising, signaling that Monday will end higher.

Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.


Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

7800 is resistance
7780 is resistance
7750 is resistance
7700 is resistance
7650 is resistance
7600 is resistance
7590 is resistance
7570 is resistance
7550 is resistance
7500 is support
7450 is support
7425 is support
7400 is support


Stock Market Outlook for Mon Sep 28 2026 

For Mon Sep 28 2026 the SPX is poised to move higher but rising oil prices over the weekend could hinder any rally attempt. Dips remain likely on Monday with weakness evident but overall the outlook is still bullish for the start of the week. Wednesday is the biggest day of the week for inflation reports. The anticipation is for stocks to climb heading into Wednesday but then could turn lower if the numbers point to still higher inflation.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

Monday:

No reports

 

 

 

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