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Stock Market Outlook For Tue Sep 22 2026 – Unconfirmed MACD Up Signal – Bullish

Sep 22, 2026 | Stock Market Outlook

Stock Market Outlook Unconfirmed Up Signal

 


Prior Trading Day Summary

On Mon Sep 21 2026 with bond yields dipping and oil falling below $100 investors rushed into stocks and gave the SPX its biggest one day rally since August 4 defying the bears and the many analysts calling for stocks to fall.

The SPX ended the day up 114 points to 7764, just a few points below its 52 week high. Volume was just 4.9 billion but 60% of volume was being traded higher and 54% of all stocks on the index were rising.

The NASDAQ rose 599 points to close at 27,122, a handful of points below its 52 week high of 272,190. 77% of volume was traded higher and 60% of al stocks were rising.

It was an impressive rally that exhibited strength throughout the entire day.

Let’s review the SPX closing technical indicators from Mon Sep 21 2026 to see what they predict for Tue Sep 22 2026 and whether the rally can continue.

Prior Trading Day Earned Income

On Mon Sep 21 2026 there were 9 trades with a total income earned of $6056.

This starts the fourth week of Sep with a solid footing.

Among the trades done on Monday, the Retiring Easy Portfolio and Million Dollar Challenge Portfolio had trades placed. Two other trades worth mentioning are Citigroup Stock (C) which had a shorter term trade placed ahead of its earnings Oct 13 and a trade in Morgan Stanley Stock (MS) that is setup with an 8.4% return for 3 weeks of risk. Members can review all of Monday’s trades through this list. Reviewing prior trades can be helpful and profitable as prices change constantly and prices often improve in the day(s) following trades being entered.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Mon Sep 21 2026 

The index ended the day below the Upper Bollinger Band but well above all the major moving averages. This is bullish and signal a break out for the SPX.

The closing candlestick signals Tuesday will be higher although the candlestick also indicates many stocks are overbought.

The 21 day moving average is rising and closed at 7663. This is bullish.

The 50 day moving average is rising and closed at 7621. This is bullish.

The 100 day moving average is rising and closed at 7480. This is bullish.

The 200 day moving average is rising and closed at 7219. This is bullish.

The Lower Bollinger Band is above the 100 day moving average and falling which at present is bearish but a further decline on Tuesday would signal bullish. The Upper Bollinger Band is rising which is bullish.

The SPX chart is more bullish than bearish for Tuesday.

SPX Stock Market Outlook review of Mon Sep 21 2026


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is rising and positive. This is bullish.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a down signal on Thu Aug 20 2026. On Mon Sep 21 2026 a new unconfirmed up signal was generated.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9.
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is rising and bullish. It is nearing overbought signals.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has an up signal in place and is bullish.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is rising and overbought. This is bullish.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor. It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change is rising, signaling that Tuesday will end higher.

Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.


Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

7800 is resistance
7780 is resistance
7750 is resistance
7700 is resistance
7650 is resistance
7600 is resistance
7590 is resistance
7570 is resistance
7550 is resistance
7500 is support
7450 is support
7425 is support
7400 is support


Stock Market Outlook for Tue Sep 22 2026 

For Tue Sep 22 2026 all signals point to the index climbing still higher. Dips are likely based on the candlestick signaling some stocks are overbought, but any dips are opportunities as the index is positioned to move higher. Signals and readings are pointing to a probable break out of the SPX and NASDAQ indexes to new all-time highs.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

Monday:

No reports

Tuesday:

No reports

 

 

 

 

 

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