Stock Market Outlook for Mon Jul 9 2018 – Still Higher

Stock Market Outlook - still higher

The outlook for the S&P for Friday July 6 was the S&P to end higher following the jobs report. The jobs numbers for June were better than estimated and the market bounced higher by later morning but then turned sideways for the remainder of the day.


Stock Market Outlook Chart Comments At The Close on Fri Jul 6 2018 

The S&P ended the day on Friday above the 21 day moving average and left behind a bullish candlestick to start off the second week of July.

The 21 day moving average is still falling but the 50, 100 and 200 day moving averages are rising.

The outlook continues to look bullish.

Stock Market Outlook review of July 6 2018


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review:

Momentum: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction. Momentum is positive and rising.

MACD Histogram: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9. MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a a down signal on Jun 19. It was weaker again on Friday.

Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months. The Ultimate Oscillator signal is positive and rising.

Slow Stochastic: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day. The Slow Stochastic is signaling up for Monday.

Relative Strength Index: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor.  It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.  The RSI signal is rising.

Rate of Change: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline. The rate of change signal is negative and moving sideways indicating no real change in pricing is expected.






Support Levels To Be Aware Of:

2745 to 2750 was light support

2725 is light support.

2700 is support.

2675 is light support.

2650 is light support

2620 is light support

2600 is strong support.

There is good support at the 2550 level from where the market bounced back from the recent correction low on Feb 9.

The S&P has light support at 2480. It also has light support at 2450 and good support at 2425. Below that there is some support at 2400, 2380, 2350. 2300 has the most support at present but would represent a full correction as a drop to this level would be 20% and just 5% away from a potential bear market signal.


 Stock Market Outlook for Tomorrow – Mon Jul 9 2018 

For Monday we could see a jump at the open as momentum from Friday could be enough to push the index higher, and then a dip before the market continues to move higher.

There is enough strength in the technical indicators for Monday to end the day higher.


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