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Stock Market Outlook For Mon Jun 8 2026 – Bounce Likely But Lower

Jun 8, 2026 | Stock Market Outlook

 


Prior Trading Day Summary

On Friday June 5 2026, stocks fell lead by a sharp decline in many high flying tech stocks thanks to a stronger Non-Farm Payroll Report on Friday which sent bond yields higher. It was a wild day for stocks as well as bonds which saw the indexes end at the lows of the day.

The SPX fell 200 points in what had to be a pullback that most analysts and investors had been expecting for some time. With many stocks overbought week after week the pullback was long overdue. The SPX closed at 7383 on moderate volume of 5.7 billion shares traded. 75% of the volume was traded to the downside and 68% of all stocks on the index were falling by the close. For the week the SPX was down 196 points.

The NASDAQ fell 1121 points to close at 25,709.  Volume rose to 11.9 billion with 66% of shares being traded lower and 76% of stocks falling. For the week the NASDAQ was down 1263 points.

Let’s review the closing technical indicators from Fri Jun 5 2026 to see what they predict for Mon Jun 8 2026.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Fri Jun 5 2026

The index closed below the 21 day moving average and the Upper Bollinger Band. This is bearish.

The closing candlestick is bearish for Monday but also signals oversold. A bounce is likely today.

The 21 day moving average is rising and closed at 7472. This is bullish.

The 50 day moving average is rising and closed at 7155. This is bullish.

The 100 day moving average is rising and closed at 7069. Thit is bullish.

The 200 day moving average is rising and closed at 6833. This is bullish.

The Lower Bollinger Band is sideways which is bearish. The Upper Bollinger Band is turning lower which is also bearish. This could be the start of a Bollinger Bands Squeeze for this week.

The SPX chart is more bearish than bullish for June 8 but an oversold bounce is likely..

SPX Stock Market Outlook review of Fri Jun 5 2026


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is falling and negative. This is bearish.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a down signal on Tue May 19 2026. On Fri Jun 5 2026 the down signal gained a large amount of strength.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9.
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is falling and oversold. A bounce is likely.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has a down signal in place.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is falling sharply and oversold. A bounce is likely.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor. It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change is falling signaling today will end lower.

Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.


Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

7600 is resistance
7590 is resistance
7570 is resistance
7550 is resistance
7500 is resistance
7450 is resistance
7425 is resistance
7400 is resistance
7370 is resistance
7350 is resistance
7300 is support
7280 is support
7250 is support
7200 is support
7175 is support
7150 is support
7125 is support
7100 is support
7050 is support
7000 is support


Stock Market Outlook for Mon Jun 8 2026 

For months economists and analysts have been telling investors that the economy is slowing and unemployment rising but Friday’s May jobs report didn’t support that outlook. Instead it showed remarkable strength and strong job growth. This sent bond yields higher and stocks sold lower.

Almost every investor knew stocks had been overbought for weeks and a pullback was likely the higher the index moved. Friday’s better than expected jobs numbers were the impetus investors needed to take profits, which they did. Many stocks plunged as a result and the market is oversold. That means for Monday there is a good chance a bounce will occur but any bounce on Monday won’t hold. The index is positioned to move lower today.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

Monday:

no reports scheduled

Tuesday:

6:00 NFIB optimism index is estimated to rise to 96.1 from 95.9 prior

8:30 April trade balance is estimated to -56.0 billion, better than the last reading of -$60.3 billion

10:00 Existing home sales for May are estimated at 4.05 million, up from 4.02 million prior

10:00 Wholesale inventories for April are estimated at 0.5% versus 1.3% prior

 

 

 

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