FullyInformed.com
Generic filters
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Search in excerpt

Stock Market Outlook For Mon Jun 1 2026 – Possible Deeper Dips With Flat To Slightly Lower Close

Jun 1, 2026 | Stock Market Outlook

Stock Market Outlook - Slightly Lower

 


Prior Trading Day Summary

On Friday stocks moved higher with the SPX reaching 7599 before slipping into the close to end the day up 16 points at 7580. Volume jumped to 8.2 billion, the highest since March 10. For the week the index was up 106 points marking 7 straight positive days.

The NASDAQ also made a new all-time high on Friday, reaching 27094 before closing at 26972, up 55 points on the day. For the week the NASDAQ added 628 points marking 7 straight positive trading days. Volume was 12.4 billion on Friday with 58% of the volume being traded higher intraday but just 46% of stocks rising by the close. The indexes are once again overbought.

The first week of June has a variety of important events including the non-farm payroll report for May, which comes out Friday June 5.

Let’s review the closing technical indicators from Fri May 29 2026 to see what they predict for Mon Jun 1 2026.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Fri May 29 2026 

The index closed above all major moving averages and reached the Upper Bollinger Band intraday. This is bullish.

The closing candlestick is bullish for Friday. There are shadows though which indicate dips are likely to start the month of June.

The 21 day moving average is rising and closed at 7402. This is bullish.

The 50 day moving average is rising and closed at 7058. This is bullish.

The 100 day moving average is rising and closed at 7019. Thit is bullish.

The 200 day moving average is rising and closed at 6797. This is bullish.

The Lower Bollinger Band is climbing which is bullish at present. The Upper Bollinger Band is climbing which is bullish.

The SPX chart is more bullish than bearish for the start of June.

SPX Stock Market Outlook review of Fri May 29 2026


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is falling but still bullish.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a down signal on Tue May 19 2026. On Fri May 29 2026 the down signal lwas almost gone.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9.
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is falling which is bearish.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has an up signal in place.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is rising which is bullish.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor. It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change is rising signaling today will end higher.

Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.


Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

7600 is resistance
7590 is resistance
7570 is resistance
7550 is resistance
7500 is resistance
7450 is resistance
7425 is resistance
7400 is resistance
7370 is resistance
7350 is resistance
7300 is support
7280 is support
7250 is support
7200 is support
7175 is support
7150 is support
7125 is support
7100 is support
7050 is support
7000 is support


Stock Market Outlook for Mon Jun 1 2026 

For Monday the outlook is for some dips which might end up being deeper than expected. However the technical indicators are still showing stocks, while overbought, have more upside. News on the weekend from NVIDIA (NVDA) moving into PCs with the RTX Spark Chip could be enough to give stocks a push, at least at the open. However oil jumped 2% on the weekend and there is still no solid word on the Iran conflict ending.

Stocks are starting the month of June at all-time highs and many stocks, in particular tech stocks are overbought. June could end up being a choppy month with many analysts expecting a correction to start sometime in the month. That prediction seems to be based solely on stocks being overbought and the indexes at what some believe are lofty levels.

Friday we get the May Non-Farm Payroll Numbers which are often a mover of the markets. For Monday though expect a possible higher open but then some weakness and a flat to slightly lower close.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

Monday:

9:45 S&P final manufacturing PMI is estimated unchanged at 55.3

10:00 ISM manufacturing is estimated to rise to 53.2% from 52.7% prior

10:00 Construction spending for April is estimated to slip to 0.3% from 0.6% prior

Intraday we should get auto sales for May which are estimated at around 16 million

 

 

 

Recent Outlooks

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri May 29 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri May 29 2026 look at the state of the rally heading into the final weekend of May. Equities discussed today include SPY ETF, TQQQ ETF, Dell Technologies Stock (DELL), Applovin …

Stock Market Outlook For Fri May 29 2026 – Overbought Dips Likely But Higher Close

Prior Trading Day Summary On Thu May 28 2026 the latest inflation report showed inflation in-line with estimates. Stocks moved higher as the rallyin chip stocks continued. The S&P rose 43 points closing at 7563. Intraday the index made a …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu May 28 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu May 28 2026 look at the chance the PCE numbers could sink the rally. Equities discussed today include SPY ETF, TQQQ ETF, Dell Technologies Stock (DELL), Costco Stock (COST) and …

Stock Market Outlook For Thu May 28 2026 – Choppy – Dips Likely But Higher

Prior Trading Day Summary On Wed May 27 2026 oil prices dropped again and many chip stocks rose strongly. This helped the indexes to rally intraday but then dip at the end of the day. The S&P rose just 1 …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed May 27 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed May 27 2026 look at the chance for the SPX to end still higher on Wednesday.. Equities discussed today include Marvell Stock (MRVL), Salesforce.com Stock (CRM), Best Buy Stock (BBY) …

Stock Market Outlook For Wed May 27 2026 – Choppy – Dip Possible But Still Higher

Prior Trading Day Summary On Tue May 26 2026 oil prices dropped and stocks continued their advance. The Dow Jones Index however closed lower. The S&P rose 45 points closing at 7519 and intraday the index made a new all-time …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue May 26 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue May 26 2026  look at the outlook for the start of the final week of May. Equities discussed today include Zscaler Stock (ZS), Dick’s Sporting Goods Stock (DKS), PDD Holdings …

Stock Market Outlook For Tue May 26 2026 – Bounce Likely – Higher

Prior Trading Day Summary On Fri May 22 2026 oil prices dipped again which helped push stock prices higher for a third straight day. Ahead of the long Memorial Day Weekend, trading volume was lower which assisted the bulls. The …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri May 22 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri May 22 2026 look at the weakness in the present rally. Equities discussed today include Ross Stores Stock (ROST), Walmart Stock (WMT), Walmart Stock (WMT) and more. The morning Investing …

Stock Market Outlook For Fri May 22 2026 – Dips Likely – Mixed Close

Prior Trading Day Summary On Thu May 21 2026 oil prices declined slightly but enough for investors to buy stocks. The S&P rose 12 points closing at 7445. Volume was unchanged at 5.5 billion but by the close rising stocks …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu May 21 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu May 21 2026 look at the rally on Wednesday and the chance for a second higher day today. Equities discussed today include NVIDIA Stock (NVDA), Target Stock (TGT), Intuit Stock …

Stock Market Outlook For Thu May 21 2026 -NVIDIA Earnings – Stocks Mixed But Higher Close

Prior Trading Day Summary On Wed May 20 2026 bond yields declined along with oil prices as the President indicated the administration was in the final stage of a deal with Iran. That sparked a widespread rally ahead of earnings …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed May 20 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed May 20 2026 look at the selling on Tuesday and where the selling could end. Equities discussed today include Chevron Stock (CVX), Deere Stock (DE), NVIDIA Stock (NVDA), Walmart Stock …

Stock Market Outlook For Wed May 20 2026 – MACD Unconfirmed Down Signal – Lower Close Expected

Prior Trading Day Summary On Tue May 19 2026 oil prices rose as did bond yields and mortgage rates. All of this was too hard for the market to ignore and stocks fell. The S&P fell 49 points to close …

Subscribe For The Latest News