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Stock Market Outlook For Fri Apr 24 2026 – Overbought – Dips Likely But Higher Close

Apr 24, 2026 | Stock Market Outlook

Overbought But Bullish

Prior Trading Day Summary

On Thursday the indexes closed lower but the SPX still closed above the 7100 level.

The SPX fell 29 points to close at 7108 on 5.4 billion shares traded. 53% of all stocks were falling but there were 130 new 52 week highs and just 29 new lows which is bullish. For the week, the SPX is down 17 points.

The NASDAQ fell 219 points to close at 24,438 with 65% of stocks on the index falling. Volume fell to 8.2 billion. For the week, the NASDAQ is down 30 points.

With earnings from Intel Thursday after the close stunning analysts and investors alike, Friday looks set to start higher.

Let’s review the closing technical indicators from Thu Apr 23 2026, to see what they predict for Fri Apr 24 2026, to end the week.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Thu Apr 23 2026 

The index closed above all major moving averages but inside the Upper Bollinger Band for a fourth day. This is still bullish as the candlesticks trend sideways.

The closing candlestick is bullish for Friday. There is a long shadow on the candlestick which signals dips on Friday could be deeper than anticipated, but the outlook is still higher by the close.

The 21 day moving average is rising sharply and closed at 6789. This is bullish and places the 21 day back above the 50 and 100 day moving averages. This negates the two down signals which have been removed from the SPX chart below.

The 50 day moving average is rising and closed at 6784. This is bullish.

The 100 day moving average is rising and closed at 6784. This is bullish.

The 200 day moving average is rising and closed at 6633. This is bullish.

The Lower Bollinger Band is turning higher which signals the high momentum rally is ending. The Upper Bollinger Band is rising which is bullish.

The SPX chart is more bullish than bearish and the 21 day moving average climbing above the 50 and 100 day moving averages is an excellent up signal.

SPX Stock Market Outlook review for Thu Apr 23 2026

 


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is falling and positive. This is bullish as the overbought condition begins to erode.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued an up signal on Fri Apr 7 2026. On Thu Apr 23 2026 the up signal lost more strength.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9.
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is falling.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has a down signal in place. It is extremely overbought. It is at levels where a pullback should be expected.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is falling and bullish.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor. It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change is rising and signaling a higher close is likely.

Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.


Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

7150 is resistance
7125 is resistance
7100 is resistance
7050 is resistance
7000 is resistance
6950 is resistance
6900 is resistance
6850 is resistance
6830 is resistance
6800 is support
6780 is support
6750 is support
6735 is support
6700 is support
6675 is support
6650 is support
6625 is support
6600 is support


Stock Market Outlook for Fri Apr 24 2026 

For Friday, the technical indicators are strongly bullish despite the index staying in an oversold condition. Eventually the oversold nature will work itself out. The 21 day moving average is back above all the other moving averages which is bullish. The two down signals in the SPX chart above are gone which is bullish as well.

Earnings from Intel on Thursday after the close were stunning. The Intel Data Center revenue came in well beyond estimates at $5.1 billion and the company indicated demand exceeds supply at present. All the Intel numbers from Wednesday’s earnings were stellar. Earnings reported were 29 cents versus 1 cent estimated. The results were hugely positive for the company and for the stock after hours. These earnings will help stocks move higher on Friday.

The technical indicators are still flashing overbought but the index is setup to close higher today.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

Monday:

No reports scheduled

Tuesday:

8:30 Retail sales rose more than expected by 1.7% surprising analysts

10:00 Business inventories rose more than estimated to 0.4% also surprising analysts

10:00 Pending home sales jumped to 1.5%, far above estimates.

Wednesday:

No reports scheduled

Thursday:

8:30 Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims came in higher than estimated at 214,000

9:45 S&P flash services PMI rose to 51.3

9:45 S&P flash manufacturing PMI jumped to 54.0 up from 52.3 prior

 

 

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