Stocks tried to build a bit of momentum higher but with the Dow Index negative for the day, only the NASDAQ managed to stay positive. The S&P closed down 10 points to 3390.
Stock Market Outlook Chart Comments At The Close on Tue Oct 27 2020
Tuesday’s chart shows a dip below the 21 and 50 day moving average and a lower close for Tuesday. The candlestick is bearish for Wednesday but remember that often a bounce off these moving averages is common.
The 200, 100, 50 and 21 day moving averages are climbing which is bullish.
The index still looks more bearish tonight and the Bollinger Bands Squeeze is almost set to start and the Lower Bollinger Band has moved above the 100 day moving average. We may see the index move lower, heading into the elections next week.
Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review:
Momentum: Momentum is trending sideways and is negative.
- Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a down signal on Oct 25. On Tuesday the down signal was stronger.
- Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9.
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is moving sideways.
- Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has a down signal in place.
Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is falling and signaling oversold.
- Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor. It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change signal is falling.
- Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.
Support and Resistance Levels To Be Aware Of:
3600 is resistance
3500 is resistance
3450 is support
3400 is support
3375 is support
3300 is support
3275 is support
3200 is support
3150 is support
3050 is support
3000 is support
2975 is light support
2950 is light support
2900 is light support
Stock Market Outlook for Tomorrow – Wed Oct 28 2020
Technically the chart is pointing to another weak day on Wednesday.
However with the index down for another day on Tuesday, often we will see a bounce attempt as the index now sits below the 21 and 50 day moving averages.
The outlook then is for dips again on Wednesday and a lower close but the likelihood of a bounce is also rising.