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Stock Market Outlook for Wed Feb 3 2021 – Some Weakness But Higher Close

Feb 3, 2021 | Stock Market Outlook

Stock Market Outlook weakness but higher closeTuesday saw a second straight day of a strong rally with the S&P pushing to just above 3840 intraday and then closing at 3826 for a gain of almost 1.4%.

The index is just 44 points from the all-time high.


Stock Market Outlook Chart Comments At The Close on Tue Feb 2 2021 

The S&P opened above the 21 day on Tuesday and pushed higher, closing above the 21 day moving average and below the Upper Bollinger Band. This left behind a bullish candlestick for Wednesday.

The 21 day moving average is turning back up while the Upper Bollinger Band and Lower Bollinger Band are moving sideways and no longer falling.

The 200, 100 and 50 day moving averages are still climbing despite last week’s selling.

The chart looks better on Tuesday after the close with the index back above the 21 day moving average.

Stock Market Outlook review of Tue Feb 2 2021

Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review:

Momentum: Momentum is rising and positive.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.

MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a down signal on Wed Jan 27 2021. On Tuesday the down signal was still quite strong.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9. 

Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is rising but negative.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.

Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has an up signal.

Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.

Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is rising.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor.  It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.

Rate of Change: The rate of change signal is rising.

  • Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.





Support and Resistance Levels To Be Aware Of:

3850 is resistance

3800 is support

3750 is support

3700 is light support

3600 is strong support

3550 is support

3500 is strong support

3450 is support

3400 is support

3375 is support

3300 is strong support

3275 is support

3200 is support

3150 is support

3050 is support

3000 is strong support


 Stock Market Outlook for Tomorrow – Wed Feb 3 2021 

For Wednesday investors should expect some weakness to develop. Normally after a strong two-day rally, the morning may open higher, then dip late morning or midday before climbing back higher again.

The close will be higher. Dips are back being bought by investors so any dips on Wednesday may be short-lived.


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