Stock Market Outlook for Wed Aug 7 2019 – Weakness – Dips Likely

Tuesday’s rally was highly suspect for further weakness today. Normally after a plunge such as we saw on Monday a rebound rally is anticipated.

On Tuesday the S&P recovered 42% of Monday’s loss while the NASDAQ recovered 38% and the Dow 40%.

These are typical recovery percentages. The market will need a few more days before showing us which way it will move next.

Stock Market Outlook Chart Comments At The Close on Tue Aug 6 2019 

The SPX chart is bearish. A bounce was expected and the index did move off the 200 day moving average. The close though left behind a bearish candlestick for Wednesday. The Lower Bollinger Band is continuing to fall which is bearish. The 21 day moving average is falling dramatically while the 50, 100 and 200 day moving averages are still rising. Overall the chart at the close on Tuesday looked set for the index to move lower and test 2800. The chart shows the rally on Tuesday was highly suspect of failing.

Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review:

Momentum: Momentum is negative and rising but there is still a strong oversold signal.

• Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.

MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a down signal on Thursday July 18. The down signal was very strong again on Tuesday.

• Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9. 

Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator signal is negative but rising.

• Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.

Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic signal has a down signal in place for Wednesday and is oversold. You can see though that the signal is almost ready for an up reading.

• Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.

Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is rising.

• Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor.  It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.

Rate of Change: The rate of change signal is rising.

• Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.

Support and Resistance Levels To Be Aware Of:

3000 is resistance

2960 is light resistance

2900 is light support

2860 is better support

2830 is light support

2800 is strong support

2795 is light support

2745 to 2750 is light support

2725 is light support

2700 is light support

2675 is light support

2650 is support

2625 is light support

2600 is support.

 Stock Market Outlook for Tomorrow – Wed Aug 7 2019 

The technical indicators are pointing at Tuesday’s rally as being a bounce. Whether it can hold won’t be known for a day or two but a test of 2800 would not be unlikely this week.

For Wednesday the index looks set to take a number of large dips as weakness is expected today after Tuesday’s spike higher.

Stock Market Outlook Archives

Stock Market Outlook For Wed May 6 2026 – Choppy But Higher Still

Prior Trading Day Summary On Tuesday stocks again shook off Middle East worries and climbed higher. The SPX made another new intraday high as it reached 7273. The index closed ....... Read More

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue May 5 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue May 5 2026 look at the dip on Monday and the chance for another lower close today. There are a ....... Read More

Stock Market Outlook For Tue May 5 2026 – Overbought and Lower

Prior Trading Day Summary On Monday stocks saw some minor pressure and ended the day slightly lower. The SPX lost 29 points to close at 7200 on 5.2 billion shares ....... Read More

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Mon May 4 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Mon May 4 2026 look at the chance for a lower close. There are a large number of equities discussed in ....... Read More

Stock Market Outlook For Mon May 4 2026 – Dips Likely With Possible Lower Close

Prior Trading Day Summary On Friday stocks continued to push higher on the back of better than estimated earnings from a number of large cap companies. With their stocks continuing ....... Read More

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri May 1 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri May 1 2026 look at the chance for another closing new high on Friday. There are a large number of ....... Read More

Stock Market Outlook For Fri May 1 2026 – Overbought But Higher

Prior Trading Day Summary On Thursday earnings from a number of big cap stocks like Alphabet Stock (GOOGL) and Eli Lilly Stock (LLY) helped to push the indexes to new ....... Read More

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu Apr 30 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu Apr 30 2026 look at the odds of a lower day. There are a large number of equities discussed in ....... Read More

Stock Market Outlook For Thu Apr 30 2026 – Dips Likely Possible Lower Close

Prior Trading Day Summary On Wednesday the SPX closed slightly lower while the NASDAQ closed higher ending the day with a mixed outlook. The SPX fell 3 points to close ....... Read More

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Apr 29 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Apr 29 2026 look at expectations for profits on Wednesday and especially Thursday. There are a large number of equities ....... Read More

Stock Market Outlook For Wed Apr 29 2026 – Choppy But Higher Ahead Of More Earnings

Prior Trading Day Summary On Tuesday both the SPX and NASDAQ lost a little ground but the bigger earnings are set to be released starting tomorrow. The SPX fell 35 ....... Read More

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Apr 28 2026

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Apr 28 2026 look at anticipated market action for today. There are a number of equities discussed in today's morning ....... Read More

• 1
• 2
• 3
• …
• 576
• ›