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Stock Market Outlook for Mon Nov 25 2024 – Bullish and Higher

Nov 25, 2024 | Stock Market Outlook

Stock Market Outlook - HigherPrior Trading Day Summary:

Friday was a choppy day of trading with the SPX staying in a tight range. The close saw the index race ahead 15 points to close up 20 points and end a winning week. The index closed up 98 points on the week to 5969.

The NASDAQ closed up 31 points and for the week it was ahead 323 points to 19003.

Friday’s move higher was strong enough to improve many of the technical signals to start the final week of November.

Let reviews the closing technical signals from Fri Nov 22 2024 to see what to expect for Mon Nov 25 2024.


Stock Market Outlook: SPX Closing Chart For Fri Nov 22 2024

The index failed move higher above the 21 day moving average. This is bullish.

The closing candlestick has no shadows but does show some sectors are starting to be overbought. The outlook though is bullish.

The 21 day moving average is higher at 5882 This is bullish.

The 50 day moving average is higher at 5810. This is bullish.

The 100 day moving average is rising and closed at 5672 which is bullish.

The 200 day moving average is in an uptrend and closed at 5429 which is bullish.

The Lower Bollinger Band is below the 50 day moving average and turning up which is bullish. The Upper Bollinger Band is rising which is bullish.

The S&P chart is bullish for Monday.

SPX Stock Market Outlook review of Fri Nov 22 2024


Stock Market Outlook: Technical Indicators Review

Momentum: Momentum is rising and negative.

  • Settings: For momentum I use a 10 period when studying market direction.
MACD Histogram: MACD (Moving Averages Convergence / Divergence) issued a down signal on Mon Nov 18 2024. The down signal lost more strength on Friday and should issue an up signal today.

  • Settings: For MACD Histogram, I am using the Fast Points set at 13, Slow Points at 26 and Smoothing at 9. 
Ultimate Oscillator: The Ultimate Oscillator is rising.

  • Settings: The Ultimate Oscillator settings are: Period 1 is 5, Period 2 is 10, Period 3 is 15, Factor 1 is 4, Factor 2 is 2 and Factor 3 is 1. These are not the default settings but are the settings I use with the S&P 500 chart set for 1 to 3 months.
Slow Stochastic: The Slow Stochastic has an up signal.

  • Settings: For the Slow Stochastic I use the K period of 14 and D period of 3. The Slow Stochastic tries to predict the market direction further out than just one day.
Relative Strength Index: The RSI signal is rising.

  • Settings: The relative strength index is set for a period of 5 which gives it 5 days of market movement to monitor.  It is often the first indicator to show an overbought or oversold signal.
Rate of Change: The rate of change signal is rising which signals a higher close is expected for Monday.

  • Settings: Rate Of Change is set for a 21 period. This indicator looks back 21 days and compares price action from the past to the present. With the Rate Of Change, prices are rising when signals are positive. Conversely, prices are falling when signals are negative. As an advance rises, the Rate Of Change signal should also rise higher, otherwise the rally is suspect. A decline should see the Rate Of Change fall into negative signals. The more negative the signals the stronger the decline.

Stock Market Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels

6025 is resistance
6015 is resistance
6000 is resistance
5990 is resistance
5970 is resistance
5950 is resistance
5900 is rsistance
5890 is resistance
5875 is resistance
5850 is support
5825 is support
5800 is support
5790 is support
5775 is support
5765 is support
5750 is support
5725 is support
5700 is support


Stock Market Outlook for Mon Nov 25 2024 

For Monday we should see a new up signal from the MACD technical indicator by the close of the day.

The technical indicators are all pointing higher for the start of the final week of November. The primary concern is with momentum which is rising but remains negative. This shows that the rally last week was not as broad-based as we would like. More stocks need to join in the rally to move to 6000.

For Monday trading will be choppy at times but the bias is bullish. There are no economic reports to affect market direction. A higher close is expected.


Potential Economic and Political Market Moving Events

Monday:

No economic reports





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