The stock market outlook for the first week of May lived up to its historic pattern of weakness. In fact this week the S&P performed right on cue with its past. The first trading day of May has historically been strong. That’s exactly what we saw as the S&P moved to its highest level of the week, reached 2082.94 intraday.

Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday have historically been poor for the markets, which again is exactly what we saw. The trading day before Mother’s Day is historically higher, which again is what we saw on Friday with the S&P climbing back from dropping just below 2040 at 2039.45, to close at 2057.14. Historically then this past week is another page in the record book that continues to support the stock market outlook for the month of May.

S&P chart – First Week Of May 2016

The one minute chart below shows the action for the week. Monday started the week off at 2067 on the S&P. It was also the best day. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday stocks moved lower. Friday stocks fell to the important 2040 level and then bounced ending the week back at 2057. Overall the S&P was down 0.48% for the first week of May. Historically, this has been what investors have witnessed for the past 3 decades for the first week of May.

SPX 1 Minute Chart First Week of May 2016

SPX 1 Minute Chart First Week of May 2016

The stock market outlook for the second week of May looks at a variety of topics including the trading valuation guides to use, trading tips, a variety of charts, volume analysis and investor sentiment to forecast the Stock Market Outlook for the week ahead. Being prepared for the week ahead is an excellent way to not only profit in the week ahead but be prepared emotionally for any kind of roller coaster ride the market might throw at investors….. the rest of The Week Ahead article is for FullyInformed Members.

Stock Market Outlook – The Week Ahead For The Second Week of May 2016

Members can log in directly through this link to read the investing strategy notes for the week ahead or they can sign in to the full members site here. Non-members can join here or read about the benefits of a membership.


review-week-ahead

review-past-4-weeks

  1. Make or Break – Final Week Of February
  2. Watching The Trend – Third Week Of February
  3. Retest – Second Week Of February
  4. Oil, China, Earnings – First Week Of February

review-all-week-ahead-articles

Disclaimer: There are risks involved in all investment strategies and investors can and do lose capital. Trade at your own risk. Stocks, options and investing are risky and can result in considerable losses. None of the strategies, stocks or information discussed and presented are financial or trading advice or recommendations. Everything presented and discussed are the author’s own trade ideas and opinions which the author may or may not enter into. The author assumes no liability for topics, ideas, errors, omissions, content and external links and trades done or not done. The author may or may not enter the trades mentioned. Some positions in mentioned stocks may already be held or are being adjusted.

Market Direction Internal Links

Profiting From Understanding Market Direction (Articles Index)

How I Use Market Timing

How I Use Market Timing

Understanding Short-Term Signals

Various Market Timing Systems

Market Direction Portfolio Trades (Members)

Market Direction External Links

Market Direction IWM ETF Russell 2000 Fund Info

Market Direction SPY ETF 500 Fund Info