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  • in reply to: Vix Calls 3.25.21 VIX @20.71 #109644
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Could be more. I am getting set to short the $40 plus calls again.

    This is new to VIX strategy. How are you shorting VIX? Naked Calls? isn’t that risky?

    in reply to: Overall Portfolio Management #109560
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Teddi,

    If he’s going to be posting trades maybe you can suggest an excel template. Or format with common fields date
    Strike
    Comment or trade notes
    Etc.

    In this manner, everyone who asks will be posting in a standardized manner.

    Secondly it’s easier to figure out what’s going on when you explain the solution.

    I think we can all learn something from other people trades and your responses.

    The problem is people often don’t often capture enough details then it hard to follow what’s going on.

    in reply to: Timing legs on put credit spread #109544
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Teddi,

    thanks! volatility is good as long as the long-term trend is up!

    in reply to: Overall Portfolio Management #109519
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    On the management side it takes time to become more confident in your trades in the face of sell-offs. If you can post to me a trade that you had in the 2020 collapse and what you did to repair, I can show you other aspects of handling that type of trade. Remember assignment is rare unless you stay close to expiry dates. When the market collapsed, note in my examples how I closed the short puts, kept the long puts open and then sold puts far out of the money which required far less capital to hold and brought in significant profits that easily covered losses. Post some trades and I can take a look for you.

    I agree with Teddi assessment,
    It just takes practice and time. I remember selling my first naked put on INTC using, not really know how to manage the trade.

    To Currently-
    I remember going into 2020 collapse perfectly mostly in cash,
    And trading the crash all the way down buying on dips and selling at bear tops during the entire crash.
    I didn’t use options at all during the crash.

    I don’t think anyone can trade like Teddi. You sort develop your own style. I think you keep it simple with mastering naked puts, without getting caught into too many rescues.
    Or I just take assignments cause I know the stock will go up. (also you need to roll them quickly as soon as they hit the strike, I just don’t have time to watch the stocks like that every second)

    in reply to: Timing legs on put credit spread #109518
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I’ll check out the put option selling tool. (that’s a new feature I see)

    I have gotten pretty good with TA chart analysis in the longer time frame daily to 6 months.

    2. I was just trying to improve my technical analysis in a shorter time frame 1 min or 5min? any articles on that?

    I guess I am interested in your day trade articles. SPY puts trades etc.. entry and exit.

    in reply to: AAPL and PYPL ITM #108341
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Ok now caught deep in the money

    AAPL closed at 121 and PYPL at 253.94. I have 10 AAPL and 7 PYPL

    Any recommendations on the roll?

    in reply to: BMY caught ITM #107959
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Yes…rolled all 15 to $62.5, Mar-19-21 for a net credit of 85 cents

    in reply to: BMY caught ITM #107929
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Hi Teddi…these expire this Friday. I can still use your counsel on this.

    in reply to: GME #107555
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I did the 45/35 debit spread on Jan. 25 expiration Feb. 19, three contracts. Several times the short leg went to 1k profit to buy it back, so I finally did on Feb. 9. I am still sitting on the long put at $45 with approximately two weeks to go to expiration. Today GME closed at $50.31. down 9.69, so I may make profit yet. My point in posting is not to brag, but to make the point that sometimes you need to go out a month or more in expiration and be patience.

    When any stock like GME goes up the way it did, chances are it will fall as fast as it went up. This is called revert to the mean. Another good example is Kodak from last summer– up on rocket fuel, and down as if someone had tied an anvil to it.

    in reply to: KO puts caught ITM #107410
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I sold feb 12 $52 calls on Friday.

    in reply to: VIX calls #107409
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Hi Teddi…looks like you are taking losses too. I took mine on Friday.

    in reply to: I’m looking for Teddi’s recent $VIX call buy #107082
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Yes, that’s the one. Thank you, aby1818! :)

    in reply to: KO puts caught ITM #106779
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Hi Teddi…I ended up taking an assignment. I am now in for a 1000 shares at $51.44

    The call premiums are very meager for covered calls if looking for $52 calls for the next 3-4 weeks.
    How would you recommend doing covered calls for this?

    Thx in advance

    in reply to: Best Platform for Put spread trading #106395
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I pay 50 cents per option on E*TRADE

    in reply to: credit spreads #106103
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Yes.

    in reply to: credit spreads #106094
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    While in a put credit spread – can I be assigned the stock and left with just the long put?

    in reply to: credit spreads #106077
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    I found the article on the site that answered my question above…so I’m good.

    in reply to: credit spreads #105979
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    a question for the more experienced –
    If I sell a put on a stock at a price where I want to purchase it and buy a long put to create a credit spread to reduce my net outlay, when would I sell the long put? Is there a ‘GREEK’ that I should be looking at? Is it just before the expiration of the short put? Is there an article in the Teddi library that covers this? Your suggestions are appreciated. thanks.

    in reply to: Santa Claus Rally 2020 #105833
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Not sure about the Santa Claus rally. Too many unknowns like the Georgia election and stimulus checks.

    I do however think we will have a sell off in January. I think we will see a pullback in the high flying tech stocks. And a rotation from lock down stocks to open up stocks. I think we could see SPX pull back to at least the 50 day and possibly the 100 day. I don’t think it will be quick and sharp but a gradual decline. Maybe $3500 by mid month or the third week of January.

    in reply to: SPX Weekly Credit Put Spreads #105791
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    More on Tax treatment:

    Here is a concise article concise article on the tax treatment of Section 1256 Contracts which include SPX option.

    Here are the blended 60/40 tax rates:

    Married Joint….. ST Cap gain …. Blended
    Tax Bracket…… Rates ……. 60/40 Rates
    $19,750 ……..10% ……. 4.0%
    $80,250 …….. 12% ……. 4.8%
    $171,050 …….22% ……. 17.8%
    $326,600 …….24% ……. 18.6%
    $414,700 …….32% ……. 21.8%
    $622,050 …….35% ……. 23.0%
    >$622,050 ……37% …. 26.8%

    For example, if you are filing Married Filing Joint and have an income after deductions of $80,250 or less, you would pay 4.8% capital gains rate on SPX options vs. 12% on other short term trades.

    in reply to: SPX Weekly Credit Put Spreads #105790
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Rescuing Trades:

    As I mentioned, I have not had to rescue any of the weekly trades. I did however have to rescue my 3 month trade back in April. Here are details of that rescue:

    SPX at
    Start Qty Trade Premium Result Gain/Loss %OTM
    1/24/20 Apr 17 2825/2850 7 $3,306 $1.20 BTC 18.5 -$12,110 13.8%
    4/9/20 Apr 17 2575/2600 11 $2,780 $3.30 BTC .10 $3,520 6.5%
    4/20/20 Apr 24 2625/2650 11 $2,840 $1.60 BTC .10 $1,650 6.7%
    4/27/20 May 1 2675/2700 11 $2,869 $1.10 BTC .05 $1,155 5.9%
    4/30/20 May 8 2675/2700 11 $2,897 $2.00 BTC .05 $2,145 6.8%
    5/15/20 May 22 2600/2625 15 $2,830 $1.90 BTC .05 $2,775 7.2%
    5/19/20 May 22 2750/2775 15 $2,948 $0.50 BTC .04 $690 5.9%
    Total -$175.00
    (formatting looks best if you stretch your screen horizontally)

    The trade started on Jan 24 at $2850 short strike. I BTC on Apr 9 for $18.50. I opened a new trade on Apr 9 at $2780 short strike at 6.5% OTM and added 4 contracts. I keep buying to close and going out one week at about 6-7% OTM. By May 22, I had recovered the nearly all of the loss from the original trade.

    Twice since starting the weekly trades I came close to ending ITM. The two times were June 12 and Oct 30 expirations. You can look at a SPX chart and see what was happening at the time. If I fell ITM I would have likely rolled half the contracts out one week at the same strike and rolled the other half to a strike that was about 6% OTM and added a few contracts to ensure I continued to generate income.

    Take a look at the image #14 I posted in my original post. The Jun 12 expiry trade entered on Jun 5 was 5.6% OTM and VIX was at $24.52. The strike was at $3025. SPX closed at $3040 on Jun 12 and VIX was at $36.09. I was able to enter on Jun 12 at 7.89% OTM for a $1.45 premium. A similar thing happened with the Oct expiration trade. If my trade moves close to or ITM, the market has fallen 5% or more in one week. And that means the VIX has jumped a lot, as have premiums. So rolling forward just one week will likely result in much higher premiums for the same strike or even one or two strikes lower. And since you can never be assigned, you could, in theory, keep rolling forward at the same strike for higher premiums indefinitely until you get back out the money. Adding a few contracts allows for dropping down a strike or two and still keep income coming in.

    I mentioned that I only trade 1/3rd of the value of my allocated cash for this portfolio. That way, I have plenty of cash available in the event I need to add a few contracts.

    in reply to: SPX Weekly Credit Put Spreads #105789
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Is this automatic, or does one have to instruct your broker.

    With Fidelity, it is automatic. You might want to check with your broker to verify that ITM spreads automatically execute both legs. Best bet is to not get into that position. LOL

    in reply to: SPX Weekly Credit Put Spreads #105786
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    If you had sold 10 contracts at say the 3475 strike and got assigned, isn’t that $3,475,000.00?

    If the 10 contracts were naked (not a spread), your account will be reduced by the difference between the closing price and the strike of the option. Let’s say you had a $25 wide spread, then the maximum loss would be $2,500 per spread.

    If in your example, the spread was 3450/3475 and the closing price was 3465, your loss would be $1,000. If the closing price was 3425, your loss would be $2500.

    in reply to: SPX Weekly Credit Put Spreads #105782
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    SPX was at $3696 at the time of my trade. VIX over $25 yields better premiums relative to OTM%. I don’t use Delta to determine the strike but I kind of use it as a “sanity check”.

    SPX closed at $3703 on Thursday so .954 * 3703 = 3533. You could use either $3525 or $3550 for the short strike. $3550 would be 4.1% OTM and $3525 would be 4.8% OTM. Remember, there are only 4 trading days until expiration so premiums are going to be lower relative to OTM due to time decay.

    in reply to: SPX Weekly Credit Put Spreads #105780
    Teddi Knight
    Keymaster

    Here’s some answers to questions asked above:

    “Do you wait till Friday to place a trade for next Friday.”

    Yes. I place my trade on Friday for the next Friday’s expiry and then do it again on Friday. There were a couple weeks where I was not going to be available on Friday so I entered on Thursday or the following Monday. Those were exceptions.

    Could you provide examples of your trade the next few weeks for me to follow along.

    On Dec 24th I did the $3500/$3525 spread, Dec 31st expiration; net premium = $0.70. I entered the trade at about 11:00 EST. At the time of the trade, VIX = $22.05, Delta = .0643 and I was 4.63% OTM. At the close on Thursday the midpoint for the spread was $0.525.

    Are you letting these expire, or are they closed for a few pennies?

    Back in Apr and May when the market was very volatile I was closing early for $.05. Since then, I just let them expire. Often I put in an order to close at “Even” on Wed. I actually got filled 3 times! It needs to be noted that the minimum increment on SPX options is $0.05. Even if you place an order to close at $0.05 when you initially entered the spread, the likelihood is that you wouldn’t get filled until the following Thursday or even Friday. And by then, you were way OTM anyway.

Viewing 25 posts - 26 through 50 (of 4,034 total)