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MARKET DIRECTION CALLS
August 2 2011 - Selling Intensifies
August 1 2011 - Bear Returns
July 28 2011 - Before The Open
July 27 2011 - Down But Are We Out?
July 20 2011 - Stock Market Volatility
July 18 2011 - Investors' Nervousness
July 15 2011 - Earnings VS Bleak Data
July 14 2011 - Below 1310
July 13 2011 - Ugly Looking Chart
July 12 2011 - Razor's Edge
July 8 2011 - Nasdaq Leads The Way
July 5 2011 - Expected Weakness
July 1 2011 - Overbought
Jun 28 2011 - July Rally?
Jun 27 2011 - Mixed Signals 
Jun 21 2011 - Bottom Or Bounce?
Jun 16 2011 - Raising Cash
Jun 15 2011 - More Downside To Come?
Jun 14 2011 - Bounce or Bottom?
Jun 12 2011 - Batten Down The Hatches
Jun 6 2011 - Bounce Sometime Soon?
Jun 2 2011 - Sell Signals and Warnings Everywhere
Jun 1 2011 - How Bad Could The Selling Get
Jun 1 2011 - Tread Carefully - Markets Remains Overvalued
May 31 2011 - Success - 100 Day Moving Average Tested
May 17 2011 - Be Careful Out There
Apri 18 2011 - Two Bears Compared
Apr 13 2011 - Why I Bought Puts Today
Apr 4 2011 - Breaking The February Highs
Mar 16 2011 - The Art Of Being Wrong
Mar 15 2011 - Market Remains Resilient
Mar 11 2011 - Trend Is Down
Feb 25 2011 - Trend Turning Bearish
Feb 11 2011 - Still Up - But Watch For June
Jan 3 2011 - Trend Remains Positive
  MARKET DIRECTION CALL
S&P 500
March 15 2011 - Market Remains Resilient
Despite the steep 10% selloff in Japan, the S&P500 was surprisingly strong. The chart tells the whole store. The selling at the end of the day is to be expected as nervous traders book some profits at the close. However overall the market does not yet show any signs of actually breaking down. The recovery from the down open of 1261.12 to touch 1288.39 shortly before the close, was interesting as it showed that many investors are holding specific positions and unwilling to sell them, yet. The turmoil in the Middle East, in oil and now in Japan is actually being handled well by the overall market. I did not add to my SPY puts late in the day. I am willing to wait or to be wrong as the market right now, remains fairly resilient. The events in Japan alone are so overwhelming and devastating that I would have thought the market would have reacted much worse. While I am not expecting an uptrend to resume, I do believe there may be better opportunities in the next few days.


 

 

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