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MARKET DIRECTION CALLS
August 2 2011 - Selling Intensifies
August 1 2011 - Bear Returns
July 28 2011 - Before The Open
July 27 2011 - Down But Are We Out?
July 20 2011 - Stock Market Volatility
July 18 2011 - Investors' Nervousness
July 15 2011 - Earnings VS Bleak Data
July 14 2011 - Below 1310
July 13 2011 - Ugly Looking Chart
July 12 2011 - Razor's Edge
July 8 2011 - Nasdaq Leads The Way
July 5 2011 - Expected Weakness
July 1 2011 - Overbought
Jun 28 2011 - July Rally?
Jun 27 2011 - Mixed Signals 
Jun 21 2011 - Bottom Or Bounce?
Jun 16 2011 - Raising Cash
Jun 15 2011 - More Downside To Come?
Jun 14 2011 - Bounce or Bottom?
Jun 12 2011 - Batten Down The Hatches
Jun 6 2011 - Bounce Sometime Soon?
Jun 2 2011 - Sell Signals and Warnings Everywhere
Jun 1 2011 - How Bad Could The Selling Get
Jun 1 2011 - Tread Carefully - Markets Remains Overvalued
May 31 2011 - Success - 100 Day Moving Average Tested
May 17 2011 - Be Careful Out There
Apri 18 2011 - Two Bears Compared
Apr 13 2011 - Why I Bought Puts Today
Apr 4 2011 - Breaking The February Highs
Mar 16 2011 - The Art Of Being Wrong
Mar 15 2011 - Market Remains Resilient
Mar 11 2011 - Trend Is Down
Feb 25 2011 - Trend Turning Bearish
Feb 11 2011 - Still Up - But Watch For June
Jan 3 2011 - Trend Remains Positive
  MARKET DIRECTION CALL
S&P 500
April 4 2011 - Breaking The February Highs
Technically

everything is set for the market to break through the February highs. I believe it will probably happen this week. The 10 day SMA has crossed the 20 and 30 day EMA indicating more upside to come. The constant chatter about the market being overbought does not "jive" when you look at the February highs when definitely the market was overbought. The market has more upside room before reaching extreme overbought conditions. Momentum is now up and rising. MACD gave a market up call last week and we are now definitely in positive territory. Finally all the complaints about low volume again is just chatter. Looking at the volume for the past few weeks shows that we are averaging around the same volume most days.

Looking at the overall market presently it is trading at about 14.6X earnings. In 2007 when the market topped out it was over 20X earnings and in 2000 when the market topped, it was over 40X earnings. Everything is in place to break the February highs. Just how much farther after that is anyone's guess right now.


 

 

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