On Fri Dec 3 2021 the November Non-Farm Payroll numbers will be released at 8:30, before markets open. Analysts are bullish on the numbers but the majority are of the opinion the numbers will increase the chance of an interest rate hike as early as February 2022. Originally analysts were of the opinion there would be no interest rate hikes until November which then changed to May. Now they are up to February thanks to the testimony earlier this week of Fed Chair Powell.
The goal for this trade is a return of at least 100% depending on whether the S&P climbs or falls lower. The trade is designed to profit no matter whether the S&P climbs or falls.
For members, the trade article explains in detail the outlook and the setup for this trade. For this trade, the cost is higher than the October trade thanks to the recent selling which has altered option prices considerably. The size of the trade is unchanged. Volatility as measured by the VIX Index is a lot higher at present than in the last 8 months of using this strategy.
I have been using this strategy for approximately 15 years as of 2021 and without any month taking a loss. But like everything in investing, past performance is not a guarantee of future results. At some point there will be losses in this strategy.
The monthly payroll numbers have been among the most tumultuous of events on a consistent basis, which for the past 15 years has driven this portfolio to exceptional gains annually.
Make sure to read the full trade article before deciding whether to enter a similar trade today. This type of trade is not the easiest to handle and should be paper traded to learn the ins and outs of the method employed before risking any capital. Remember that these are high risk trades that can result in losses.
I am not a financial planner or advisor and have no investment accreditations. I am an investor who has been trading since the bear market of the mid-1970’s. Nothing presented is advice or recommendations. These are simply trades I am entering or considering.
This Trade Ahead Of Non-Farm Payroll Numbers is for members
SPY ETF Trade Alert Ahead of November Non-Farm Payroll Numbers – Dec 3 2021
Disclaimer: There are risks involved in all investment strategies and investors can and do lose capital. Trade at your own risk.