Yesterday as the SPX was testing the 21 day moving average, I wrote how history shows the first two trading days of the Thanksgiving week have often been lower. As explained, there is an old adage that says, “buy the weakness and sell the strength” used to describe the Thanksgiving week.
What we are seeing today is history repeating itself. This has been the case since I started investing in the mid-1970’s, for 95% of the time. Friday should also be higher. It is a half day.
Today the market opened exactly as expected with another drop. This was a final attempt by investors, particularly fund and professional traders to shake out weaker retail investors. From that point they began to buy and as the stats below show, buying has been steady.
New York Stats:
Volume is still heavy considering it is the day before Thanksgiving holiday. 2.1 billion shares have traded hands as the lunch hour ends.
New lows have fallen to half of yesterday at this time with 81 new lows. There are 55 new highs, which is rising as the index recovers.
Volume has switched from yesterday with 57% of all volume trading higher and 49% of all stocks rising. Down volume is 39% with 40 of all stocks falling.
NASDAQ Stats
Volume is heavier on the NASDAQ again with 2.7 billion shares traded. That just 500 million less shares traded which is excellent considering this is the day before Thanksgiving holiday.
New lows are half of yesterday at 264 while new highs are a bit lower at just 50.
Volume though is 70% to the upside with 29% to the downside. This is a significant reversal from the past two days of selling.
52% of all stocks are advancing while 38% are falling. Again this is a reversal to yesterday when 60% of all stocks were falling and only 31% were rising.
Outlook:
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