FullyInformed.com

January 2015 Trades Earned 11.5% – Market Direction Portfolio Trades for January 2015

Sep 20, 2015 | Stock Market Outlook

For USA Members following the Market Direction Portfolio I am restructuring the various trade tables for all my trades including the Market Direction Portfolio. I have also hired an assistant who is working to get all the trades up-to-date and then maintain them up to the minute. To that end, this is the first market direction portfolio update. This first update looks at all the trades done in January 2015.

The month of January returned 11.5%.  January was a very busy month for the Market Direction Portfolio. After steady and easy gains in 2014, January marked the first month of volatility that warned investors that 2015 was going to be a very different year from the past 4 years. Gains had been easy in those 4 prior years. In 2015 it became obvious in January with trades such as those done on January 9, January 13, January 28 and January 30, managing the portfolio would require more use of stop-losses and more focus on protection of capital. The loss taken on Jan 26 of $5,380.00 was the first major loss to the portfolio in 4 years.

That loss was a clear signal that 2015 was going to be different. A number of investors emailed in January concerned about the increase in the number of trades being done and the use of stop-losses. They had been use to easy gains where a purchase of UDOW could be held for days and weeks for easy profits. January proved that holding a Ultra ETF for a movement either up or down for more than a a day or two without a stop-loss was going to be a disaster. January was the first month in 4 years where the portfolio was often stopped out daily and sometimes stopped out more than once in a day.

It was also the first month in 4 years where intraday trades in the portfolio sometimes ended up with 2 or more trades. January 9 was the first signal that there was a change underway in the underlying market direction. On January 9 there were 6 buy and 5 sells all in one day. The profit was exceptional, but it was just one day. It was the kind of profit that usually took a week to earn prior to January 2015. It was after that day that I wrote in the market direction outlook that 2015 was shaping up to be a different year. I indicated that at some point in 2015 we may look back on the pullback of October 2014 as the first warning that a new bear market might be developing. We have yet to see that develop but it has been a wild year.

All the above trades are outlined in the January 2015 trade table.. Members can review all the trades and all the articles associated with January’s trades through this link.

The market direction portfolio is designed to profit from the trend in the market direction whether it is up, down or sideways through using the Ultra Pro and Short 3X and 2X ETFs.

Market Direction Portfolio Trade Update for January 2015

FullyInformed USA Members can review all the January trades done in the Market Direction Portfolio directly through this link or they can sign in to the full site here. Non-members can join here or read about the benefits of a membership.


 

Disclaimer: There are risks involved in all investment strategies and investors can and do lose capital. Trade at your own risk. Stocks, options and investing are risky and can result in considerable losses. None of the strategies, stocks or information discussed and presented are financial or trading advice or recommendations. Everything presented and discussed are the author’s own trade ideas and opinions which the author may or may not enter into. The author assumes no liability for topics, ideas, errors, omissions, content and external links and trades done or not done. The author may or may not enter the trades mentioned. Some positions in mentioned stocks may already be held or are being adjusted.

Market Direction Internal Links

Market Direction Portfolio Trades for 2014

Profiting From Understanding Market Direction (Articles Index)

How I Use Market Timing

How I Use Market Timing

Understanding Short-Term Signals

Various Market Timing Systems

Market Direction Portfolio Trades (Members)

Market Direction External Links

Market Direction

IWM ETF Russell 2000 Fund Info

Market Direction

SPY ETF 500 Fund Info

Search

Select to view all results...

Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors

Recent Outlooks

Stock Market Outlook for Thu Mar 28 2024 – Choppy – Dips Likely – But Higher

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Wednesday investors returned and snapped up stocks that had drifted lower. The SPX bounced at the open and by the close it was up 45 points to close at 5248. The NASDAQ rose 83 points …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Mar 27 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Mar 27 2024 discuss the outlook for Wednesday and comments on a possible correction and what it might entail. There are a number of trade ideas outlined including FedEx Stock …

Stock Market Outlook for Wed Mar 27 2024 – Unconfirmed MACD Down Signal

Prior Trading Day Summary: I lost my power shortly after the markets closed. Articles this evening will be shorter if I can post any. On Tuesday trading volume picked up as stocks fell for another day. The SPX closed near …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Mar 26 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Mar 26 2024 discuss the outlook for Tuesday. As well there are comments on support levels to watch in the SPX for the week. There are a number of trade …

Stock Market Outlook for Tue Mar 26 2024 – Still Bullish

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Monday low trading volumes hindered the chance of a positive close. The SPX saw just 3.4 billion shares traded. This matches the volume on last Friday. While poor , it is also bullish as it …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Mon Mar 25 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Mon Mar 25 2024 discuss the outlook for Monday and the shortened week ahead of the Easter holiday. There are a number of trade ideas outlined including FedEx Stock (FDX), Nike …

Stock Market Outlook for Mon Mar 25 2024 – Dip Likely But Higher Close

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Friday investors took profits ahead of the upcoming shortened Easter week with indexes sitting at all-time highs. On Friday the SPX closed down just 7 points to 5234. For the week the index was up …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri Mar 22 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Fri Mar 22 2024 discuss the outlook for Friday. There are a large number of trade ideas outlined including FedEx Stock (FDX), Nike Stock (NKE), Lululemon Athletica Stock (LULU),  and more …

Stock Market Outlook for Fri Mar 22 2024 – Choppy – Dips Possible But Still Up

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Thursday all 3 indexes closed at new all-time highs for a second straight day. Volumes remained decent but stocks are seeing some selling as investors are taking a few profits with the indexes at new …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu Mar 21 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Thu Mar 21 2024 discuss the outlook for Thursday following Wednesday’s FOMC interest rate decision and Fed Chair Powell’s news conference. There are a large number of trade ideas outlined including …

Stock Market Outlook for Thu Mar 21 2024 – Higher Still

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Wednesday the SPX, Dow Jones and NASDAQ indexes all closed at new all-time highs. Comments from Fed Chair Powell reaffirming 3 rate cuts in 2024 were still “on the table” was all that investors needed …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Mar 20 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Wed Mar 20 2024 discuss the outlook for Wednesday and the latest FOMC interest rate decision. There are also a number of trade ideas outlined including Chewy Stock (CHWY), SPY ETF, …

Stock Market Outlook for Wed Mar 20 2024 – All About The Fed – Bullish

Prior Trading Day Summary: On Tuesday the morning started with a dip down to 5131 but buyers were waiting for the dip and volumes picked up. Deep dips in a number of big caps like NVIDIA Stock (NVDA) found ready …

Morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Mar 19 2024

For FullyInformed Members the morning Investing Strategy Notes for Tue Mar 19 2024 discuss the outlook for Tuesday following Monday’s rally and before Wednesday’s latest FOMC interest rate decision. There are also a number of trade ideas outlined including Chevron …